Are We Moving Towards Singularity Earlier than Expected?

The invention and introduction of ChatGPT have taken the world by storm, displaying artificial intelligence (AI) with conversational abilities going far beyond human imagination. The state-of-art language generation model stirred the pot several times. Experts are already testing the pot’s usefulness in several sectors. The pace at which things have been moving in the past couple of months shows that Artificial Intelligence (AI) is already upon us. Besides, several tech firms began working on their competitive models for ChatGPT.

The competition is sure to spend the evolution of AI, and the recent release of GPT-4 marks a significant milestone in artificial intelligence, especially in natural language processing. When discussing evolution, fictional science concepts like Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) and AI singularity started gaining the limelight.

GPT-4: What We Know Till Now

It is the latest version of OpenAI’s language model systems, which the firm announced to launch in the middle of March 2023. The previous version of the model, GPT-3.5, powered the company’s popular ChatGPT chatbot during its launch in November 2022. GPT, which stands for Generative Pre-trained Transformer, is a language model that uses deep learning to generate human-like conversational text.

GPT-4 is a large multimodal model that can accept text and image inputs and outputs for human-like text. It is so powerful that it can read a graph you upload and calculate based on the present data. The model possesses improved intellectual capabilities that outperform GPT-3.5 in a series of a simulated benchmarks. Experts developed GPT-4 to improve model alignment, which can follow user intention and make it more truthful, generating less offensive or dangerous output.

GPT-4 can improve GPT-3.5 models about an answer’s factual correctness. The GPT-4 model makes fewer factual or reasoning errors than GPT-3.5 and received a 40% score on OpenAI’s internal factual performance benchmark. Furthermore, it can also change its behavior according to user requests.

What is Singularity?

In technology, singularity describes a hypothetical future where technology is out of control and irreversible. Intelligent and professional technologies radically and unpredictably transform our reality. The term singularity conveys different meanings; however, it depends on context. In natural sciences, when a minute change has an enormous impact, singularity refers to dynamic and social systems.

Singularity involves computer programs advanced as AI transcends human intelligence, potentially erasing the boundary between humanity and computers. Experts perceive that Nanotechnology as a key technology will make singularity a reality.

The intelligence explosion will significantly influence human civilization. Experts expect that these computing programs, combined with AI, would bring super-intelligent machines with cognitive capacity beyond human capabilities.

Are We Heading Towards Singularity?

The greatest fear about AI is singularity, also called Artificial General Intelligence (AGI), a system capable of human-level thinking. In the opinion of some experts, singularity implies machine consciousness. Regardless of consciousness, such a machine could continuously improve itself and reach far beyond human capabilities.

According to a survey, forecasters believe there is a 50-50 chance for devising, testing, and publicly announcing AGI by 2040. However, a translation company believes humanity might reach singularity within seven years, which is an audacious estimation. The firm developed Time to Edit (TTE), a metric that calculates the time professional human editors require to fix AI-generated translations compared to humans. It often helps in quantifying the speed toward the singularity.


Today, AI chatbots are developing and finding a significant place in every sector. Predicting when singularity will happen is difficult, as it depends on several variables, including the advancement of AI technology, the definition of human intelligence, and the pace of its growth. However, some researchers are hunting for signs of reaching singularity measured by AI progress approaching the skills and capability similar to a human.

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